

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Western United has a probability of 29.15% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western United win is 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
| 47.9% ( | 22.95% ( | 29.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( | 38.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( | 60.81% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( | 16.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.94% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.67% ( | 60.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 36 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 28 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 21 |
| 9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 35 | -19 | 11 |
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