Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United | 
| 41.68% (  -0.28) | 23.26% (  0.27) | 35.05% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 63.93% (  -1.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.47% (  -1.32) | 37.52% (  1.32) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.25% (  -1.43) | 59.75% (  1.43) | 
| Wellington Phoenix Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.53% (  -0.66) | 18.47% (  0.66) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.33% (  -1.13) | 49.67% (  1.13) | 
| Western United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.42% (  -0.6) | 21.58% (  0.6) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.32% (  -0.93) | 54.67% (  0.93) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United | 
| 2-1 @ 8.72% (  0.03) 1-0 @ 6.73% (  0.29) 2-0 @ 5.69% (  0.12) 3-1 @ 4.91% (  -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.76% (  -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.2% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.07% (  -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.59% (  -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.35% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 10.32% (  0.26) 2-2 @ 6.68% (  -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.99% (  0.25) 3-3 @ 1.92% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.91% (  0.05) 0-1 @ 6.11% (  0.28) 0-2 @ 4.69% (  0.13) 1-3 @ 4.05% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.42% (  -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.4% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% (  -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.31% (  -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.05% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 | 
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 28 | 
| 3 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 28 | 
| 4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 27 | 
| 5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 24 | 
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 23 | 
| 7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 21 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 21 | 
| 9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 19 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 17 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 16 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 8 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
