Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
41.68% (![]() | 23.26% (![]() | 35.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.47% (![]() | 37.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.25% (![]() | 59.75% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% (![]() | 18.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.33% (![]() | 49.67% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% (![]() | 21.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% (![]() | 54.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 10.32% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.91% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 28 |
3 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 24 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 23 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 21 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |