Heerenveen 3-2 Ajax - Eredivisie - February 11, 2024 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

3 - 2

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

van Amersfoort (11', 46'), Sahraoui (38')
van Beek (49'), Kohlert (51'), Braude (65'), Bochniewicz (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bochniewicz (51' og.), Akpom (79')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 3-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV
Saturday, February 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Although Heerenveen have shown some life in recent matches, playing host to Ajax remains one of Dutch football's toughest games. While we expect the home side to get on the scoresheet, the visitors should have too much quality in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 38.76% and a draw has a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (4.94%) and 2-3 (4.66%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.05%).

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
38.76% ( -0.47)	21.27% ( -0.01)	39.97% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 72.38% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.19% (

0.03)

26.8% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.76% (

0.04)

47.24% (

-0.05)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85% (

-0.17)

15.15% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.26% (

-0.31)

43.73% (

0.31)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.3% (

0.19)

14.69% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13% (

0.37)

42.86% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 38.76%

Ajax 39.97%

Draw 21.27%

Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.29% 3-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 39.97%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax

Heerenveen

12.2%

Draw

7.3%

Ajax

80.5%

Head to Head

Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm

Gameweek 11

4-1

Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')

Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')

Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm

Gameweek 25

2-4

Van Amersfoort (42'), Van Hooijdonk (79')

Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')

Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm

Gameweek 6

5-0

Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')

May 11, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 29

5-0

Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')

> Match Report

Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm

Gameweek 8

0-2

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')

Haller (24'), Neres (75')