Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen - Eredivisie - November 5, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

4 - 1

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax experienced a new-manager bounce in the last match and will be looking to keep the momentum going as they approach their must-win Europa League encounter against Brighton & Hove Albion next week. Last week's win could be the turning point in the season for the hosts, and we fancy them to go back-to-back in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Heerenveen
62.73% ( 0.22)	19.29% ( 0.05)	17.97% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 60.9% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.09% (

-0.72)

33.91% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.24% (

-0.82)

55.76% (

0.82)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.62% (

-0.15)

10.38% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.1% (

-0.35)

33.9% (

0.35)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96% (

-0.72)

32.04% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

-0.82)

68.51% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Ajax 62.73%

Heerenveen 17.97%

Draw 19.29%

Ajax	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.23% Total : 62.73%	1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.29%	1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax

81.0%

Draw

9.5%

Heerenveen

9.5%

Head to Head

Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm

Gameweek 25

2-4

Van Amersfoort (42'), Van Hooijdonk (79')

Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')

Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm

Gameweek 6

5-0

Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')

May 11, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 29

5-0

Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')

> Match Report

Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm

Gameweek 8

0-2

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')

Haller (24'), Neres (75')

Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm

Gameweek 28

1-2

Van Bergen (27')

Tadic (36' pen.), Haller (61')
Tagliafico (86')