

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 22.3% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles | 
| 55.68% (  0.66) | 22.02% (  -0.31) | 22.3% (  -0.36) | 
| Both teams to score 58.42% (  0.57) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.52% (  0.98) | 40.48% (  -0.97) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.14% (  0.99) | 62.86% (  -0.99) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.56% (  0.55) | 14.44% (  -0.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.61% (  1.05) | 42.39% (  -1.05) | 
| Heracles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.28% (  0.23) | 31.72% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.86% (  0.26) | 68.14% (  -0.26) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heerenveen | Draw | Heracles | 
| 2-1 @ 9.85% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 8.86% (  -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.58% (  -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.35% (  0.13) 3-0 @ 5.53% (  0.08) 3-2 @ 3.65% (  0.09) 4-1 @ 3.07% (  0.12) 4-0 @ 2.68% (  0.09) 4-2 @ 1.76% (  0.08) 5-1 @ 1.19% (  0.07) 5-0 @ 1.04% (  0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.68% | 1-1 @ 10.17% (  -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.65% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 4.58% (  -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.4% (  0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.84% (  -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.26% (  -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.02% (  -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.24% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.16% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.3% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 | 
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 | 
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 | 
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 | 
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 | 
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 | 
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 | 
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
