Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heracles |
| 30.17% ( | 22.94% ( | 46.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% ( | 37.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% ( | 60.11% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( | 24.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.02% ( | 58.97% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( | 16.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.71% ( | 46.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.17% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 2-3 @ 3.89% ( 1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 2-4 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 4.42% Total : 46.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
