

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 49.98% ( | 23.18% ( | 26.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( | 41.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( | 63.69% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( | 16.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.45% ( | 46.55% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( | 28.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.72% ( | 64.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 26.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
