Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 65.55% ( | 18.4% ( | 16.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.82% ( | 33.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.07% ( | 54.92% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( | 9.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.15% ( | 31.85% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.63% ( | 70.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 4-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 5-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 4.7% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.4% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 18 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 1 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
