

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 25.28% ( | 24.14% ( | 50.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( | 46.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( | 69.15% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( | 32.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.76% ( | 69.24% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( | 18.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.16% ( | 49.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0-2 @ 8.6% ( 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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