

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 63.09% ( | 19.62% ( | 17.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( | 36.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.09% ( | 58.91% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( | 11.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.47% ( | 35.54% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( | 34.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.77% ( | 71.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 5-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0-2 @ 2.17% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Ebbsfleet | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Woking | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Gateshead | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Oxford CityOxford City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 6 |
| 18 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 6 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 21 | Fylde | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 5 |
| 22 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | York City | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
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