Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca3 - 1Atletico San Luis
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Toluca
Sunday, October 22 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 22 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Juarez 3-2 Atletico San Luis
Thursday, October 26 at 4.06am in Liga MX
Thursday, October 26 at 4.06am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.96%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
54.96% ( -0.55) | 21.28% ( 0.17) | 23.75% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.41) | 35.24% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.46) | 57.25% ( 0.45) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.09% ( -0.3) | 12.9% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.67% ( -0.61) | 39.32% ( 0.61) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( 0.07) | 27.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.88% ( 0.09) | 63.11% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 54.96%
Atletico San Luis 23.75%
Draw 21.28%
| Toluca | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.96% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 23.75% |
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 6pm
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
Feb 12, 2022 11pm
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-2
Atletico San Luis
Mar 6, 2021 1.30am
Form Guide
