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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
4 - 1
Millwall

Hyam (42'), Tronstad (45+1', 59'), Brittain (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ivanovic (44')
Harding (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
43.55% (1.398 1.4)27.07% (0.607 0.61)29.38% (-2.002 -2)
Both teams to score 48.88% (-2.736 -2.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-3.08 -3.08)56.11% (3.085 3.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-2.559 -2.56)77.18% (2.564 2.56)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.672 -0.67)25.56% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.93 -0.93)60.43% (0.933 0.93)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-3.054 -3.05)34.33% (3.056 3.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-3.405 -3.41)71.04% (3.409 3.41)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 43.55%
    Millwall 29.38%
    Draw 27.06%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.97% (1.15 1.15)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.636 0.64)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.993 0.99)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.419 -0.42)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.336 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.395 -0.4)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.307 -0.31)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
30.8%
Draw
19.2%
Millwall
50.0%
52
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
1-0
Blackburn
Ivanovic (90+6')

Travis (6'), Gueye (90+1')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Blackburn
1-1
Millwall
Szmodics (63')
Obafemi (54')
Tanganga (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
1-2
Blackburn
Harding (3')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
rhs 2.0


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