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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Millwall logo

Blackburn
4 - 1
Millwall

Hyam (42'), Tronstad (45+1', 59'), Brittain (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ivanovic (44')
Harding (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Millwall

Blackburn's fortunes seem to be gradually turning in the right direction, but it is too little, too late, and even a win here would not be enough to put them back in the promotion picture. Millwall are four points better off and will fancy their chances of fighting until the very end for a spot in the top six, and a win here would do them wonders, but they have not won here for 12 years and the hectic schedule could affect their chances with numerous injuries at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
43.55% (1.398 1.4) 27.07% (0.607 0.61) 29.38% (-2.002 -2)
Both teams to score 48.88% (-2.736 -2.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-3.08 -3.08)56.11% (3.085 3.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-2.559 -2.56)77.18% (2.564 2.56)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.672 -0.67)25.56% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.93 -0.93)60.43% (0.933 0.93)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-3.054 -3.05)34.33% (3.056 3.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-3.405 -3.41)71.04% (3.409 3.41)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 43.55%
    Millwall 29.38%
    Draw 27.06%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.97% (1.15 1.15)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.636 0.64)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.993 0.99)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.419 -0.42)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.336 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.242 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.395 -0.4)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.307 -0.31)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers
30.8%
Draw
19.2%
Millwall
50.0%
52
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
1-0
Blackburn
Ivanovic (90+6')

Travis (6'), Gueye (90+1')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Blackburn
1-1
Millwall
Szmodics (63')
Obafemi (54')
Tanganga (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
1-2
Blackburn
Harding (3')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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