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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Cardiff

Ohashi (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Salech (4'), Meite (73')
Chambers (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, March 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Cardiff City

Both teams are eager to return to winning ways quickly following winless runs of form, but Blackburn will be regarded as favourites on home soil and we are backing them to pick up their first three points of the Ismael era against a Cardiff outfit who have struggled on the road for some time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
50.86% (-1.229 -1.23) 25.45% (0.705 0.71) 23.68% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 49.14% (-1.505 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-2.277 -2.28)53.58% (2.28 2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-1.954 -1.95)75.08% (1.957 1.96)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (-1.41 -1.41)21.08% (1.414 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (-2.246 -2.25)53.9% (2.25 2.25)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.778 -0.78)37.72% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5% (-0.766 -0.77)74.5% (0.768 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.86%
    Cardiff City 23.68%
    Draw 25.45%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.687 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.518 0.52)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.68%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Cardiff City
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Cardiff
1-3
Blackburn
Turnbull (73')
Weimann (15', 54'), Baker (86')
Pears (37'), Buckley (72'), Rankin-Costello (72'), Buckley (90+4')
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cardiff
0-0
Blackburn
Goutas (90+3'), Wintle (90+3')
Hyam (45+1'), Tronstad (66'), Buckley (75')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
1-0
Cardiff
Rankin-Costello (53')
Dolan (33'), Hyam (87')

Collins (68')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Blackburn
5-2
Cardiff
Garrett (13'), Sigurdsson (36'), Moran (49', 54'), Markanday (69')
Robinson (18'), Etete (45+3')
Jan 1, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Blackburn
1-0
Cardiff
Dack (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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