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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Blackburn logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Blackburn

Al-Hamadi (19')
Gallagher (82'), Thompson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gueye (46'), Travis (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn will be determined to get their playoff bid back on track by claiming all three points on Wednesday, but we think they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Stoke side that have lost just one of their previous six home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
36.97% (0.106 0.11) 27.5% (0.19 0.19) 35.53% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 49.33% (-0.603 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66% (-0.75 -0.75)56.34% (0.746 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63% (-0.611 -0.61)77.37% (0.607 0.61)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.301 -0.3)29.32% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-0.37 -0.37)65.29% (0.366 0.37)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.556 -0.56)30.21% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63% (-0.66999999999999 -0.67)66.37% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 36.97%
    Blackburn Rovers 35.53%
    Draw 27.49%
Stoke CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.97%
1-1 @ 13% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.53%

How you voted: Stoke vs Blackburn

Stoke City
38.9%
Draw
29.6%
Blackburn Rovers
31.5%
54
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Blackburn
0-2
Stoke

Dolan (77')
Manhoef (57'), Cannon (85' pen.)
Burger (67'), Tchamadeu (79')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Blackburn
3-1
Stoke
Dolan (7', 37'), Szmodics (19')
Ennis (39')
McNally (29'), Tchamadeu (54')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-3
Blackburn

Thompson (90+1'), Pearson (90+2')
Wharton (4'), Moran (86'), Szmodics (90+1')
Dolan (45+1')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Stoke
3-2
Blackburn
Hoever (24', 43'), Campbell (75')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Blackburn
0-1
Stoke

Rankin-Costello (10'), Travis (41'), Famiwuya (59')
Baker (27')
Gayle (57'), Fosu (84'), Baker (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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