

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 46.16% ( | 23.12% | 30.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( | 38.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( | 60.71% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( | 17.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.84% ( | 47.16% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( | 24.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.12% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 4.19% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0-1 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 77 |
| 3 | Burnley | 37 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 75 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 69 |
| 5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 56 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 37 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 53 |
| 9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 52 |
| 10 | Watford | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 7 | 49 |
| 13 | Millwall | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 48 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 44 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 42 |
| 18 | Hull City | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
| 19 | Stoke CityStoke | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 39 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 36 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 35 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 34 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 74 | -36 | 33 |
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