MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 07:54:10| >> :60:182:182:
Lugano
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stockhorn Arena
Celje

Lugano
5 - 4
Celje

Mahmoud (21'), Koutsias (42', 80'), dos Santos Correia (44'), Doumbia (118')
dos Santos Correia (51'), Koutsias (61'), Osigwe (105+3'), Steffen (112'), Cimignani (112'), Croci-Torti (121')
Hajdari (90+3')
FT
(aet)
Seslar (40'), Svetlin (68'), Kucys (90+5' pen.), Nieto (97')
Delaurier-Chaubet (24'), Svetlin (105'), Silva (112')
Celje win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Lugano and Celje, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sion 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Celje 2-2 Primorje
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We say: Lugano 2-0 Celje (Lugano win 2-1 on aggregate)

Lugano boast a good offensive record in the Conference League and will believe that they can overturn their deficit. Additionally, Celje's away form has been subpar in the past weeks, and it would not be surprising if they conceded more than once on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Celje had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%).

Result
LuganoDrawCelje
52.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 21.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 25.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)36.22% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)58.34% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.06% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)41.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)26.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 52.31%
    Celje 25.78%
    Draw 21.92%
LuganoDrawCelje
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.78%

How you voted: Lugano vs Celje

Lugano
69.4%
Draw
18.4%
Celje
12.2%
49
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Celje
1-0
Lugano
Svetlin (23')
Kucys (52'), Nemanic (90+4')

Hajdari (16'), Bottani (59')
Papadopoulos (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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