We said: Flamengo 4-0 Deportivo Tachira
With five defeats from five so far, there is little down for Tachira here at the Maracana, and Flamengo will be determined to win by a healthy margin, with goal difference set to play its part in the order in which the top two are placed.
The hosts are hitting form at the perfect time, performing well both domestically and on the continent, and there will be few betting against them in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 76.83%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 7.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (11.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.