We said: Palmeiras 1-2 Flamengo
Palmeiras are in strong from overall, but their home record is notably poor, suggesting that they may struggle to maintain their lead at the top of the table this weekend.
In contrast, Flamengo have been resilient on the road in the Brasileiro, and they are likely to pose a threat to Verdao on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
1.19) 
-0.09) 
