Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Allianz Parque
Ceara

Palmeiras
3 - 0
Ceara

Willian (67', 69'), Manuel Lopez (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramos (78')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Palmeiras and Ceara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Ceara

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Ceara 2-0 Sport
Saturday, May 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCeara
68.4% (0.11 0.11)19.79% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)11.8% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.3% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.153 0.15)49.22% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.139 0.14)71.28% (-0.137 -0.14)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.079000000000008 0.08)13.35% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.15900000000001 0.16)40.24% (-0.157 -0.16)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)50.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.32% (0.010999999999999 0.01)84.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 68.4%
    Ceara 11.8%
    Draw 19.79%
PalmeirasDrawCeara
2-0 @ 13.54%
1-0 @ 13.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.57% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 68.4%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 19.79%
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.8%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2025 11.30pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Ceara
0-1
Palmeiras

Mugni (10'), Henrique (43'), Estefani Machado (49')
Gomez (34')
Willian (14'), Giay (21'), Martinez (79'), Mauricio (90+6')
Jul 30, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 20
Ceara
1-2
Palmeiras
Mendoza (80' pen.)
Vinicius (27'), Castilho (71'), Pacheco (86')
Richardson (50')
Dudu (31'), Manuel Lopez (45')
Rocha (45+6'), Piquerez (67'), Cerqueira (83')
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 1
Palmeiras
2-3
Ceara
Jorge (20'), Rafael (31'), Rocha (51'), Danilo (90+10')
Vinicius (27'), Mendoza (28'), Otavio (33'), Richard (63'), Erick (73'), Geovane (82'), Lindoso (90+5'), Paraiba (90+11')
Vinicius (90+10')
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Palmeiras
1-0
Ceara
Kevin (42')
Hugo (55')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 19
Ceara
1-2
Palmeiras
Cleber (89')
Igor (59'), Vinicius (78'), Erick (80'), Otavio (90')
Rafael (45+4'), Deyverson (72')
Rafael (81'), Deyverson (86'), Weverton (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
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13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
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RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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