Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Centro de Treinamento Vila Porto
Sao Paulo

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Roque (90+5')
Piquerez (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruan (31'), Ferraresi (90+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-2 Sao Paulo
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawSao Paulo
48.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)27.77% (-0.029 -0.03)23.67% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.92% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.33% (0.12 0.12)61.67% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.51% (0.09 0.09)81.49% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)25.6% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.056999999999995 0.06)60.49% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.69% (0.119 0.12)42.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.29% (0.102 0.1)78.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 48.54%
    Sao Paulo 23.67%
    Draw 27.76%
PalmeirasDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 14.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 48.54%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 10.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.67%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Palmeiras
2-1
Sao Paulo
Manuel Lopez (55', 90+12')
de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis (45+1'), Gomez (60'), Rocha (90+2'), Manuel Lopez (90+14')
Rafael (90+15')
Luciano (72')
Sabino (43'), Luciano (74')
Luciano (90+6'), Nestor (90+15')
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 4
Sao Paulo
0-0
Palmeiras
Diego (29'), Vinicius (43'), Calleri (59'), Araujo (69')
Ferreira (30'), Gomez (40'), Endrick (45'), Cerqueira (59')
Oct 26, 2023 12am
Gameweek 29
Palmeiras
5-0
Sao Paulo
Lopes (16', 26'), Piquerez (45+7' pen., 87'), Rocha (84')
Rafael (21'), Endrick (44'), Veiga (45+10')

Beraldo (25'), Rafinha (45+2'), Rato (79')
Rafinha (61')
Jul 14, 2023 12am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
1-2
Sao Paulo
Piquerez (34')
Mayke (42')
Paulista (49'), David (89')
Alisson (7'), Junior (8'), Luciano (23'), Paulista (85'), Luan (88')
> Preview
Jul 5, 2023 11.30pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-0
Palmeiras
Rafinha (82')
Neves (44'), Maia (44'), David (90+3'), Rato (90+4')

Mayke (87'), Gomez (90+2')
> Preview