Ceara
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 30, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras

Ceara
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Mugni (10'), Henrique (43'), Estefani Machado (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gomez (34')
Willian (14'), Giay (21'), Martinez (79'), Mauricio (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Ceara and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Bahia
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
CearaDrawPalmeiras
29.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)27.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)43.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 48.29% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)56.88% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.8% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)34.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.42% (0.012 0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.012 -0.01)61.1% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 29.45%
    Palmeiras 43.26%
    Draw 27.28%
CearaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.45%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.04% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 12.15%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 43.26%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 20
Ceara
1-2
Palmeiras
Mendoza (80' pen.)
Vinicius (27'), Castilho (71'), Pacheco (86')
Richardson (50')
Dudu (31'), Manuel Lopez (45')
Rocha (45+6'), Piquerez (67'), Cerqueira (83')
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 1
Palmeiras
2-3
Ceara
Jorge (20'), Rafael (31'), Rocha (51'), Danilo (90+10')
Vinicius (27'), Mendoza (28'), Otavio (33'), Richard (63'), Erick (73'), Geovane (82'), Lindoso (90+5'), Paraiba (90+11')
Vinicius (90+10')
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Palmeiras
1-0
Ceara
Kevin (42')
Hugo (55')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 19
Ceara
1-2
Palmeiras
Cleber (89')
Igor (59'), Vinicius (78'), Erick (80'), Otavio (90')
Rafael (45+4'), Deyverson (72')
Rafael (81'), Deyverson (86'), Weverton (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Ceara
2-1
Palmeiras
Lima (10'), Vinicius (29' pen.)
Eduardo (45+3'), Chu (57')
Veron (31')
de Paula (27'), Empereur (45+1'), Santos (49'), Melo (84'), Esteves (85')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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