MX23RW : Monday, April 28 00:01:32| >> :60:3593:3593:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Palmeiras

Bolivar
2 - 3
Palmeiras

Gomes (56', 69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Manuel Lopez (19'), Willian (45'), Mauricio (73')
Anderson (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bolivar 3-0 Cristal
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
BolivarDrawPalmeiras
39.05% (0.115 0.12) 24.07% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 36.87% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 61.15% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.475 -0.48)41.26% (0.471 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.485 -0.48)63.66% (0.479 0.48)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.154 -0.15)21.25% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)54.17% (0.23 0.23)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.327 -0.33)22.34% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.487 -0.49)55.82% (0.481 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 39.05%
    Palmeiras 36.87%
    Draw 24.07%
BolivarDrawPalmeiras
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.123 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.87%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Palmeiras
4-0
Bolivar
Rony (24'), Artur (34', 85'), Piquerez (76')

Villamil (41')
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-1
Palmeiras
Hervias (20'), Bejarano (45+1'), Uzeda (89')
Sep 30, 2020 11.15pm
Group Stage
Palmeiras
5-0
Bolivar
Willian (3'), Wesley (47'), Vina (59'), Veiga (61'), Rony (64')
Gomez (29')

Carlos Fernandez Toro (58')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
1-2
Palmeiras
Riquelme (67')
Willian (34' pen.), Menino (60')
Rafael (36'), Menino (44'), Henrique (72'), D (90')
rhs 2.0
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