Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.