Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cristal2 - 3Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cristal 3-1 Always Ready
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
0
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Palmeiras |
31.44% ( 1.27) | 25.33% ( 0.31) | 43.23% ( -1.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
