MX23RW : Friday, June 30 22:18:53| >> :60:65:65:
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras
4 - 0
Bolivar
Rony (24'), Artur (34', 85'), Piquerez (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Villamil (41')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Palmeiras 2-2 Bolivar

Palmeiras looked an unstoppable force on home soil until they suffered defeat to Botafogo last weekend, and returning to winning ways is not a given for the Alviverde considering that they have already lost to Bolivar this season. Indeed, the visitors head to Brazil in buoyant mood needing just a draw to claim top spot in Group C and we believe that the Bolivian side will pick up the point they need in an entertaining contest at Allianz Parque. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
77.46% (0.52500000000001 0.53) 13.84% (-0.214 -0.21) 8.7% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.544 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.49% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.63% (0.10300000000001 0.1)6.37% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.1% (0.27200000000001 0.27)23.9% (-0.268 -0.27)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (-0.642 -0.64)43.43% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (-0.543 -0.54)79.65% (0.54700000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 77.46%
    Bolivar 8.7%
    Draw 13.84%
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.157 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 8.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.63% (0.144 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.53% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.65% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 3.05% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.055 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 77.46%
1-1 @ 6.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.77%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.84%
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Bolivar

Palmeiras
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
Bolivar
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-1
Palmeiras
Hervias (20'), Bejarano (45+1'), Uzeda (89')
Sep 30, 2020 11.15pm
Group Stage
Palmeiras
5-0
Bolivar
Willian (3'), Wesley (47'), Vina (59'), Veiga (61'), Rony (64')
Gomez (29')

Carlos Fernandez Toro (58')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
1-2
Palmeiras
Riquelme (67')
Willian (34' pen.), Menino (60')
Rafael (36'), Menino (44'), Henrique (72'), D (90')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Burnley00000000
7Chelsea00000000
8Crystal Palace00000000
9Everton00000000
10Fulham00000000
11Liverpool00000000
12Luton TownLuton00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!