Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
We said: Bahia 0-2 Palmeiras
The two sides come into Thursday's game in contrasting runs of form, and with far more quality in their squad than the hosts, we can only envisage a relatively routine Palmeiras triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Palmeiras |
30.02% ( -0.01) | 26.85% ( -0.01) | 43.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
