Having avoided defeat in each of their last seven home games – picking up four wins and three draws along the way – Godoy Cruz look set to notch another home victory at the expense of Boca Juniors, who have lost five of their nine away league outings this year.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
-1.65) 
1.81) 
