Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.