Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima0 - 2Sao Paulo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, May 3 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 3 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
6
We said: Alianza Lima 0-1 Sao Paulo
Despite all of the injuries Sao Paulo have incurred this season, someone always seems to step up for them, and their depth should power them to another victory on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Sao Paulo |
36.55% ( -0.02) | 29.63% ( -0.01) | 33.82% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.08% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
