Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Limavs.Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Libertad 0-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Ceara vs. Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Sao Paulo has a probability of 31.51% and a draw has a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.66%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win is 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.45%).
Result | ||
Alianza Lima | Draw | Sao Paulo |
38.5% (![]() | 29.98% (![]() | 31.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 41.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.66% (![]() | 65.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.87% (![]() | 84.13% (![]() |
Alianza Lima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% (![]() | 32.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.49% (![]() | 69.5% (![]() |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.28% (![]() | 37.72% (![]() |