MX23RW : Wednesday, May 7 02:43:14| >> :120:9388:9388:
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 26, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Alianza Lima

Trauco (5' og.), Zenon (58')
Merentiel (61'), Saracchi (64'), Gimenez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barcos (19')
Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola (14'), Gaibor (63'), Garces (63'), Lavandeira (64'), Guerrero (90+1')
Alianza Lima win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Boca Juniors and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Aldosivi
Saturday, February 22 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 22.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawAlianza Lima
52.04% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.53% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.43% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)54.97% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)76.25% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98%54.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)39.7% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)76.37% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 52.03%
    Alianza Lima 22.43%
    Draw 25.53%
Boca JuniorsDrawAlianza Lima
1-0 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.43%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Alianza Lima

Boca Juniors
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Alianza Lima
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2025 12.30am
Second Round 1st Leg
Alianza Lima
1-0
Boca Juniors
Ceppelini (4')
Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola (1'), Trauco (17'), Enrique (48'), Barcos (85'), Zambrano (90+3')

Alarcon (32'), Merentiel (34'), Battaglia (75')
May 17, 2018 1.45am
-
Boca Juniors
5-0
Alianza Lima
Cardona (12'), Fabra (20'), Abila (34', 42'), Tevez (55')
Perez (18')

Cruzado (25')
Mar 2, 2018 12.30am
-
Alianza Lima
0-0
Boca Juniors
Costa (53'), Ascues (79')
Vergini (43'), Barrios (44')
rhs 2.0
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