MX23RW : Friday, April 25 21:24:27| >> :60:399:399:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin

Melgar
vs.
Lanus

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 23 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Lanus
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Lanus vs. San Martin SJ
Sunday, April 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melgar win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw has a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lanus has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Lanus win it is 0-1 (8.82%).

Result
MelgarDrawLanus
49.77% (4.185 4.19) 27.07% (-0.62 -0.62) 23.16% (-3.565 -3.57)
Both teams to score 44.2% (-1.363 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25% (-0.194 -0.19)59.75% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95% (-0.15 -0.15)80.05% (0.14800000000001 0.15)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (1.929 1.93)24.17% (-1.93 -1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (2.665 2.67)58.5% (-2.665 -2.67)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.3% (-3.367 -3.37)41.7% (3.366 3.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (-3.084 -3.08)78.18% (3.083 3.08)
Score Analysis
    Melgar 49.76%
    Lanus 23.16%
    Draw 27.06%
MelgarDrawLanus
1-0 @ 14.31% (0.87 0.87)
2-0 @ 10.16% (1.134 1.13)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.769 0.77)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.333 0.33)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.35 0.35)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.192 0.19)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.76%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.37 -0.37)
0-0 @ 10.08% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.778 -0.78)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.703 -0.7)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.744 -0.74)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.346 -0.35)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 23.16%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Lanus
3-0
Melgar
Moreno (45+1'), Salvio (47'), Orozco (79')
Aquino (37'), Javier Rodriguez (90')

Orzan (34'), Martinez (69')
rhs 2.0
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