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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Apr 27, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
1 - 0
San Martin SJ

Moreno (59')
Mendez (78'), Cardozo (90+4'), Cardozo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Molina (42'), Lecanda (79'), Iacobellis (90+1')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and San Martin de San Juan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Lanus
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Martin SJ 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Sunday, April 20 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 9.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.43%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.6%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.

Result
LanusDrawSan Martin de San Juan
68.7% (-0.105 -0.11) 21.75% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 9.55% (0.0419 0.04)
Both teams to score 31.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (-0.103 -0.1)61.11% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)81.07% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)17.2% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.129 -0.13)47.48% (0.13 0.13)
San Martin de San Juan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.34% (0.025999999999996 0.03)61.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.53% (0.014000000000001 0.01)91.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 68.7%
    San Martin de San Juan 9.55%
    Draw 21.74%
LanusDrawSan Martin de San Juan
1-0 @ 18.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 16.43% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.64% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 68.7%
0-0 @ 10.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.24% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 9.55%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 22
Lanus
1-1
San Martin SJ
Sand (93')
Carrasco (55'), Garcia (61'), Pasquini (76'), Lodico (90')
Castillejos (43')
Erpen (6'), Mattia (32')
rhs 2.0
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