Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus3 - 0Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Independiente
Sunday, April 6 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 6 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Melgar 3-3 Vasco
Wednesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Melgar |
57.3% ( 0.12) | 24.68% ( -0.1) | 18.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
