Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
Melgar3 - 3Vasco
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Santos
Sunday, March 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, March 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
42.78% ( 0.03) | 26.42% ( 0) | 30.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
