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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 5, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sanchez
San Lorenzo

San Martin SJ
0 - 1
San Lorenzo


Gonzalez (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cerutti (69')
Braida (34'), Vombergar (58'), Dominguez (64'), Insaurralde (88')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Martin de San Juan and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Instituto 1-0 San Martin SJ
Saturday, March 29 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus
Friday, March 28 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 34.85%. A draw had a probability of 34% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 31.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.13%) and 1-2 (5.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.27%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 1-0 (14.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San Martin de San JuanDrawSan Lorenzo
31.12% (0.525 0.53) 34.03% (0.157 0.16) 34.85% (-0.681 -0.68)
Both teams to score 32.72% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.26% (-0.296 -0.3)75.74% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.31% (-0.1661 -0.17)90.69% (0.169 0.17)
San Martin de San Juan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (0.236 0.24)44.21% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.192 0.19)80.29% (-0.19 -0.19)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (-0.677 -0.68)41.35% (0.678 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (-0.603 -0.6)77.86% (0.605 0.61)
Score Analysis
    San Martin de San Juan 31.12%
    San Lorenzo 34.85%
    Draw 34.01%
San Martin de San JuanDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.92% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.146 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.38% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 31.12%
0-0 @ 18.27% (0.2 0.2)
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 34.01%
0-1 @ 16.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 34.85%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2018 1am
Gameweek 9
San Lorenzo
2-1
San Martin SJ
Blandi (9'), Hernandez (85')
Salazar (49')
Villarruel (8')
Gelabert (74')
rhs 2.0
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