Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 19, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici

Plaza Colonia
1 - 2
Danubio

Diogo (24')
Diogo (26'), Calleros (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (70'), Nunez (89')
Ezequiel Velazquez Ghigliazza (20'), Romero (45+1'), Pintos (58')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plaza Colonia

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Racing
Saturday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.78%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.11%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (13.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawDanubio
33.18% (-0.751 -0.75)31.05% (0.295 0.3)35.78% (0.455 0.45)
Both teams to score 39.42% (-0.773 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.73% (-0.882 -0.88)68.26% (0.88 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.89% (-0.585 -0.59)86.11% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87% (-1.041 -1.04)38.13% (1.038 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11% (-1.016 -1.02)74.89% (1.014 1.01)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (-0.177 -0.18)36.29% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.18 -0.18)73.07% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 33.17%
    Danubio 35.77%
    Draw 31.04%
Plaza ColoniaDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 33.17%
0-0 @ 13.83% (0.44 0.44)
1-1 @ 13.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.04%
0-1 @ 14.02% (0.38 0.38)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 35.77%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Plaza Colonia
1-0
Danubio
Villalba (53')

Sosa (43')
Feb 26, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 4
Danubio
5-0
Plaza Colonia
Cruz (16'), Fernandez (47', 54', 59'), Ponte (90+4')
Sep 13, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Danubio
1-1
Plaza Colonia
Navarro (26')
Mederos (22')
Jul 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Danubio
2-0
Plaza Colonia
Vicente (41', 74')
Hernandez (30'), Rodriguez (33'), Rea (66'), Vicente (71')

Fernandez (66'), Quintana (90+1')
Apr 9, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 8
Plaza Colonia
1-1
Danubio
Rodriguez (33')
Bahia (72'), Perez (90+5')
May (52')
Rea (42'), Gonzalez (85')