Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 18, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Boston River logo

Danubio
1 - 2
Boston River

Nunez (88')
Ezequiel Velazquez Ghigliazza (90+7'), Ezequiel Velazquez Ghigliazza (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Anello (60' pen.), Ariel Noguera Rolon (90+6')
Bortagaray (55'), Acosta (74'), Adamo (90+4'), Adamo (90+7')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Danubio
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawBoston River
40.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)29.46% (0.073 0.07)30.12% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.98% (-0.248 -0.25)64.02% (0.25000000000001 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.8% (-0.176 -0.18)83.2% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.12 -0.12)31.08% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.142 -0.14)67.4% (0.143 0.14)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (-0.201 -0.2)38.05% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-0.197 -0.2)74.82% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 40.41%
    Boston River 30.12%
    Draw 29.45%
DanubioDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 13.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.82% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.45%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 30.12%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 2
Danubio
2-0
Boston River
Tizon (72'), Fratta (90+6')
Fracchia (49'), Tizon (72'), Fernandez (77')

Suhr (43'), Rodriguez (55'), Perez (77')
Jul 21, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Boston River
1-2
Danubio
Gomez (7')
Cougo (5'), Amado (45+1')
Franco (79'), Tizon (90')
Monzeglio (12'), Fracchia (15'), Brazionis (53'), Tizon (70')
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 2
Boston River
0-0
Danubio
Damiani (36'), Beltran (75')
Rossi (84')
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Danubio
1-1
Boston River
Adrian Valdez (77' og.)
Ferreira (29')
Gomez (63')
Amado (18'), Cougo (65'), Zunino (80'), Rodriguez (89')
Jul 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Boston River
1-0
Danubio
Gomez (74')
Rodriguez (17'), Gomez (44'), Corbo (82')

May (13'), Ferreira (44'), Vera (85'), Silva (87')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!