Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 0Danubio
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Bahia
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, April 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
9
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
48.01% ( -0.31) | 26.46% ( 0.13) | 25.54% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
