Major League Soccer

Jun 1, 2025 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 3
Kansas

Kowalczyk (13', 13')
Raines (45+1'), Raines (45+1'), Dorsey (84'), Dorsey (84'), de Andrade Vieira (86'), de Andrade Vieira (86')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Joveljic (45+3', 45+3', 52', 52'), Munoz (88', 88')
Bassong (76'), Bassong (76'), Salloi (82'), Salloi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 0-3 Houston
Thursday, May 29 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 New England
Sunday, May 25 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
59.91% ( -0.13)	21.16% ( 0.02)	18.92% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

0.06)

41.2% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.4% (

0.06)

63.59% (

-0.06)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

-0.02)

13.37% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.72% (

-0.04)

40.27% (

0.04)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

0.14)

35.4% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

0.15)

72.16% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 59.91%

Sporting Kansas City 18.92%

Draw 21.16%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.91%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.16%	1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.92%