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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Los Angeles
2 - 0
Houston

Ordaz (10', 10'), Ebobisse (79', 79')
Martinez (31'), Martinez (31'), Jesus (56'), Jesus (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dorsey (8'), Dorsey (8'), Escobar (25'), Escobar (25')
Escobar (90+5'), Escobar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, April 28 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
52.38% (0.456 0.46)23.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)24.32% (-0.457 -0.46)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)44.06% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (-0.417 -0.42)66.44% (0.413 0.41)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)16.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.82% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)31.94% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.699 -0.7)68.4% (0.696 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 52.38%
    Houston Dynamo 24.32%
    Draw 23.3%
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.38%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Houston

Los Angeles FC
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Houston Dynamo
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2025 2am
Houston
1-0
Los Angeles
McGlynn (57')
Ponce (16'), McGlynn (24'), Kowalczyk (75')

Martinez (30'), Saldana (61'), Segura (74')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-0
Los Angeles
Herrera (52'), Artur (56'), Micael (85'), Escobar (85')
Sanchez (45+5'), Atuesta (56'), O'Brien (78')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-2
Houston

Bouanga (36'), Palencia (55')
Ponce (28'), Ennali (72')
Escobar (33'), Dorsey (34'), Herrera (49'), Ponce (53')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 2.30am
Los Angeles
2-0
Houston
Hollingshead (44'), Escobar (80' og.)

Escobar (45+3'), Herrera (71')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-1
Houston

Biuk (22'), Sanchez (27'), Palacios (89')
Opoku (79')
Micael (23')
Clark (64'), Artur (76'), Baird (90+2'), Steres (90+3'), Sviatchenko (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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