We said: Houston Dynamo 2-2 Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo have made their worst start to an MLS season and have suffered three consecutive home defeats already this term, conceding two or more goals in each of those matches.
LAFC, on the other hand, have picked up nine points in six games, but they are still some way from their best and have already shipped eight goals on their travels this term. Given these teams' form to date, we feel this one will end level at the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.