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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 2am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Houston
1 - 0
Los Angeles

McGlynn (57')
Ponce (16'), McGlynn (24'), Kowalczyk (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (30'), Saldana (61'), Segura (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 3-1 Houston
Monday, March 31 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 3 at 4.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-2 Los Angeles FC

Houston Dynamo have made their worst start to an MLS season and have suffered three consecutive home defeats already this term, conceding two or more goals in each of those matches. LAFC, on the other hand, have picked up nine points in six games, but they are still some way from their best and have already shipped eight goals on their travels this term. Given these teams' form to date, we feel this one will end level at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles FC
46.95% (-0.34 -0.34) 23.94% (-0.064 -0.06) 29.1% (0.406 0.41)
Both teams to score 58.71% (0.511 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78% (0.545 0.55)43.22% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38% (0.537 0.54)65.62% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (0.078000000000003 0.08)18.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.126 0.13)49.86% (-0.124 -0.12)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (0.559 0.56)27.89% (-0.558 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (0.70800000000001 0.71)63.5% (-0.706 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 46.95%
    Los Angeles FC 29.11%
    Draw 23.93%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.073 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-0
Los Angeles
Herrera (52'), Artur (56'), Micael (85'), Escobar (85')
Sanchez (45+5'), Atuesta (56'), O'Brien (78')
Sep 1, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-2
Houston

Bouanga (36'), Palencia (55')
Ponce (28'), Ennali (72')
Escobar (33'), Dorsey (34'), Herrera (49'), Ponce (53')
Dec 3, 2023 2.30am
Jun 15, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-1
Houston

Biuk (22'), Sanchez (27'), Palacios (89')
Opoku (79')
Micael (23')
Clark (64'), Artur (76'), Baird (90+2'), Steres (90+3'), Sviatchenko (90+2')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Houston
4-0
Los Angeles
Quinones (11'), Bassi (50' pen.), Baird (69'), Escobar (89')
Clark (53'), Escobar (79'), Baird (81')

Cifuentes (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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