MX23RW : Monday, April 28 17:09:26| >> :60:367:367:
Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2025 at 4.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Inter Miami

Los Angeles
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Ordaz (57')
Ordaz (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Segovia (66'), Busquets (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Los Angeles FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Diego 3-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Inter Miami

These are two highly experienced squads that have played in their share of knockout ties and each will know that this is a marathon rather than a sprint, which is why we do not expect to see as much urgency on either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawInter Miami
46.46% (-1.296 -1.3) 23.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 30.29% (1.288 1.29)
Both teams to score 61.94% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (0.728 0.73)39.3% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.36% (0.75700000000001 0.76)61.64% (-0.755 -0.76)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (-0.215 -0.22)17.25% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (-0.377 -0.38)47.56% (0.378 0.38)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (1.195 1.19)25.15% (-1.193 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (1.621 1.62)59.86% (-1.62 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 46.46%
    Inter Miami 30.29%
    Draw 23.25%
Los Angeles FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.33 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.196 0.2)
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.106 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.29%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Inter Miami

Los Angeles FC
9.3%
Draw
14.8%
Inter Miami
75.9%
54
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2023 3am
Los Angeles
1-3
Inter Miami
Hollingshead (90')
Bogusz (2'), Palacios (76'), Murillo (79'), Bouanga (88')
Farias (14'), Alba (51'), Campana (83')
Yedlin (63'), Farias (72'), Gomez (86')
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
Inter Miami
0-2
Los Angeles

Mo (29'), Lassiter (73'), Azcona (90+2')
Shea (45+2')
Opoku (45'), Tajouri (82')
Kim (11'), Sanchez (15'), Fall (62'), Henry (88')
Mar 1, 2020 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Los Angeles
1-0
Inter Miami
Vela (44')
Atuesta (60'), Harvey (81')

Ulloa (63'), Powell (66'), Agudelo (83')
rhs 2.0
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