Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbaovs.Man Utd
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg between Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Athletic Club could line up for Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg against Manchester United.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of their Europa League semi-final with Athletic Bilbao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, April 23 at 6pm in La Liga
Wednesday, April 23 at 6pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Man Utd
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 23.89% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.86%).
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Manchester United |
52.95% ( 2.64) | 23.15% ( -0.39) | 23.89% ( -2.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
