Athletic Bilbao logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Manchester United logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 3
Man Utd


Berchiche (36'), Alvarez (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Casemiro (30'), Fernandes (37' pen., 45')
Mount (77'), Garnacho (84'), Simon (84'), Yoro (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Thursday's Europa League clash between Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United.

Team News

Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim confirms his starting side for Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg with Athletic Bilbao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg between Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg against Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of their Europa League semi-final with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawManchester United
52.87% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.16% (0.010000000000002 0.01)23.97% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2% (0.034999999999997 0.03)43.81% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)66.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)16.56% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)46.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.084000000000003 0.08)32.1% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (0.094999999999999 0.09)68.58% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 52.87%
    Manchester United 23.97%
    Draw 23.16%
Athletic BilbaoDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.87%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Man Utd

Athletic Bilbao
47.0%
Draw
16.4%
Manchester United
36.6%
336
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
Man Utd
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Pellistri (90+3')
Evans (84')
Williams (29')
Ruiz de Galarreta (39'), Lekue (63'), Vivian (83'), Imanol (84')
Paredes (66')
Build-up
Manchester United's Amad Diallo on January 16, 2025
Man United head coach Ruben Amorim delivers Amad Diallo, Matthijs de Ligt, Chido Obi updates ahead of Europa League battle
Manchester United boss Ruben Amorim reveals that Amad Diallo and Matthijs de Ligt are set to be on the bench for Thursday's Europa League clash against Athletic Bilbao.
Apr 30, 17:33
Athletic Bilbao's Nico Williams in action on December 8, 2024
Nico Williams injury update: Will in-demand Athletic Bilbao superstar face Man United?
Athletic Bilbao attacker Nico Williams says that he is "feeling pretty good" about his troublesome groin injury.
Apr 30, 15:23
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim on November 28, 2024
Athletic Bilbao vs. Man United: Five missing as Red Devils confirm squad for Europa League showdown at San Mames
Manchester United confirm their 26-man squad that will travel to Bilbao for Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg against Athletic Bilbao.
Apr 30, 14:54
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim and former defender Paul Parker
Ex-Man United defender Paul Parker says Europa League success should not overshadow "a disgrace" of a Premier League season
Former Manchester United defender Paul Parker says that "a disgrace" of a Premier League season should not be forgotten if the Red Devils win the Europa League.
Apr 30, 11:01
Manchester United's Amad Diallo celebrates on December 15, 2024
Man United duo Amad Diallo, Matthijs de Ligt return, could either start for the Red Devils against Athletic Bilbao?
Manchester United are handed a huge double boost ahead of Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg against Athletic Bilbao.
Apr 30, 10:48
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim on April 10, 2025
Manchester United lineup vs. Athletic Bilbao: Predicted XI for Europa League semi-final first leg, as Amorim weighs up changes
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg against Athletic Bilbao.
Apr 29, 15:56
Athletic Bilbao's Oihan Sancet celebrates scoring their first goal on August 15, 2024
Athletic Bilbao lineup vs. Manchester United: Predicted XI for Europa League semi-final first leg
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Athletic Club could line up for Thursday's Europa League semi-final first leg against Manchester United.
Apr 29, 15:35
Manchester United's Amad Diallo celebrates scoring against PAOK on November 7, 2024
Man United injury news: Red Devils 'draw up' Amad Diallo, Matthijs De Ligt return plan ahead of Europa League semi-final
Manchester United are reportedly hopeful that attacker Amad Diallo and defender Matthijs de Ligt could return to action this week.
Apr 28, 19:39
Manchester United's Matthijs de Ligt in action on December 7, 2024
Man United injury, suspension news vs. Athletic Bilbao: Amad Diallo, Matthijs de Ligt, Joshua Zirkzee updates
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of the first leg of their Europa League semi-final with Athletic Bilbao.
Apr 28, 09:15
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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