Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Viktoria Plzen
64.09% ( -0.02)	20.54% ( 0.01)	15.38% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36% (

-0.01)

44.64% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33% (

-0.01)

67% (

0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.78% (

-0.01)

13.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.03% (

-0.02)

39.97% (

0.02)

Viktoria Plzen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.3% (

0.01)

41.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.83% (

0.01)

78.17% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 64.08%

Viktoria Plzen 15.38%

Draw 20.54%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Viktoria Plzen
2-0 @ 11.28% 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.91% 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.08%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.54%	0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 15.38%