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Athletic Bilbao logo
Supercopa de Espana | Semi-Finals
Jan 8, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Barcelona logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 2
Barcelona


Berenguer (50'), Kounde (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gavi (17'), Yamal (52')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Supercopa de Espana clash between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Athletic Bilbao could line up for Wednesday's Spanish Super Cup semi-final against Barcelona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Spanish Super Cup semi-final with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-0 Athletic Bilbao (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 4 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Barcelona

All competitions
Last Game: Barbastro 0-4 Barcelona
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Barcelona

 Barcelona may have swept past Barbastro in the Copa del Rey, but they still have much to prove after losing four of their last seven matches against La Liga opposition, and with that in mind, we think that they may fall short against an Athletic side that have won seven of their last nine competitive matches in regulation time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
32.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 26.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 40.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)52.87% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)74.48% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64%30.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)25.48% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)60.32% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 32.62%
    Barcelona 40.86%
    Draw 26.5%
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.62%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.86%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona

Athletic Bilbao
47.2%
Barcelona
52.8%
248
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> Match Report
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