Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Barcelona |
| 23.64% ( | 24.8% ( | 51.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.92% ( | 51.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( | 72.93% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( | 36.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.83% ( | 73.16% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( | 19.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% ( | 51.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 3-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.64% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0-3 @ 5.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.55% |