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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 73.12% (  -0.48) | 15.81% (  0.08) | 11.07% (  0.39) | 
| Both teams to score 54.91% (  1.22) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 67.26% (  0.81) | 32.74% (  -0.81) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 45.57% (  0.93) | 54.42% (  -0.93) | 
| Barcelona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.27% (  0.09) | 7.73% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.49% (  0.24) | 27.51% (  -0.24) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.51% (  1.26) | 40.48% (  -1.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.91% (  1.12) | 77.09% (  -1.12) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barcelona | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 2-0 @ 10.25% (  -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.27% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 8.75% (  -0.25) 1-0 @ 8.01% (  -0.31) 3-1 @ 7.91% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 5.6% (  -0.14) 4-1 @ 5.07% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 3.58% (  0.14) 5-0 @ 2.87% (  -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.6% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 2.29% (  0.1) 6-0 @ 1.23% (  -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.17% (  0.06) 6-1 @ 1.11% (  0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 73.11% | 1-1 @ 7.24% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% (  0.15) 0-0 @ 3.13% (  -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.08% (  0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.81% | 1-2 @ 3.27% (  0.1) 0-1 @ 2.83% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.28% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% (  0.09) 1-3 @ 0.99% (  0.06) Other @ 1.44% Total : 11.07% | 
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| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
