Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.57%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 28.36% (  -0.21) | 28.14% (  -0.17) | 43.5% (  0.38) | 
| Both teams to score 45.35% (  0.36) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.67% (  0.5) | 60.33% (  -0.5) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.51% (  0.38) | 80.49% (  -0.38) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.59% (  0.11) | 37.41% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.81% (  0.11) | 74.19% (  -0.1) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.46% (  0.44) | 27.54% (  -0.44) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.94% (  0.57) | 63.05% (  -0.57) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Las Palmas | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 1-0 @ 10.13% (  -0.16) 2-1 @ 6.42% (  -0) 2-0 @ 4.98% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.11% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.63% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% (  0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.36% | 1-1 @ 13.06% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.3% (  -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.14% (  0.05) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 13.28% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.57% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 8.42% (  0.08) 0-3 @ 3.68% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 3.62% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 1.78% (  0.04) 0-4 @ 1.19% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 1.17% (  0.04) Other @ 1.79% Total : 43.5% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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