Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 47.54% (  4.96) | 28.99% (  -0.13) | 23.47% (  -4.83) | 
| Both teams to score 39.84% (  -2.94) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 34.52% (  -1.95) | 65.48% (  1.95) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 15.78% (  -1.37) | 84.22% (  1.38) | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.1% (  1.69) | 27.9% (  -1.69) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% (  2.11) | 63.51% (  -2.11) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.26% (  -5.5) | 44.74% (  5.5) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.28% (  -4.78) | 80.72% (  4.78) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 1-0 @ 15.93% (  1.8) 2-0 @ 10.17% (  1.56) 2-1 @ 8.18% (  0.13) 3-0 @ 4.33% (  0.83) 3-1 @ 3.48% (  0.21) 3-2 @ 1.4% (  -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.38% (  0.32) 4-1 @ 1.11% (  0.12) Other @ 1.56% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 12.81% (  -0.41) 0-0 @ 12.48% (  0.87) 2-2 @ 3.29% (  -0.48) Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 10.03% (  -0.83) 1-2 @ 5.15% (  -1.03) 0-2 @ 4.04% (  -1.04) 1-3 @ 1.38% (  -0.55) 0-3 @ 1.08% (  -0.5) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.46% |