Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 36.48% (  0.92) | 30.04% (  0.5) | 33.48% (  -1.42) | 
| Both teams to score 41.96% (  -1.42) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 34.72% (  -1.66) | 65.27% (  1.65) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 15.92% (  -1.17) | 84.08% (  1.17) | 
| Espanyol Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.82% (  -0.27) | 34.18% (  0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.12% (  -0.29) | 70.88% (  0.29) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.76% (  -1.88) | 36.24% (  1.88) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.97% (  -1.96) | 73.02% (  1.96) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 1-0 @ 13.29% (  0.69) 2-1 @ 7.24% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.14% (  0.32) 3-1 @ 2.59% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 1.32% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 13.49% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 12.38% (  0.73) 2-2 @ 3.68% (  -0.21) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 12.57% (  0.13) 1-2 @ 6.85% (  -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.38% (  -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.32% (  -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.16% (  -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.24% (  -0.14) Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.47% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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