Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 43.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
| 43.58% ( | 29.24% ( | 27.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.65% ( | 64.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.57% ( | 83.43% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( | 29.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.56% ( | 65.44% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.75% ( | 77.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% ( 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.42% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.96% ( 2-2 @ 3.62% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.3% Total : 27.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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